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วันจันทร์ที่ 3 พฤศจิกายน พ.ศ. 2557
Why Iraqi army can't fight, despite $25 billion in U.S. aid, training
Can 1,400 U.S. advisors rebuild Iraq's military to repel Islamic State? Interviews with troops raise doubts.
Hussein
Shehab knew things were going badly when he spotted the Iraqi police
pickup trucks. They were flying the black flag of Islamic State
fighters, who were driving the vehicles straight toward him and his
fellow Iraqi security force soldiers.
It was June 9 in Mosul in
northern Iraq. Shehab, a federal paramilitary police officer assigned to
an army unit, realized that other officers had abandoned their vehicles
and fled Islamic State fighters who were about to seize Iraq's
second-largest city.
By the end of the day, Shehab's entire
division had collapsed. Two army divisions also disintegrated as
thousands of soldiers and police officers shed their uniforms, dropped
their weapons and ran for their lives. Shehab, told that his commanders
had deserted, tossed his rifle and ran away too.
"We felt like
cowards, but our commanders were afraid of Daesh. They were too afraid
to lead us," said Shehab, 43, using the Arabic acronym for Islamic
State.
Shehab
and others in his battalion describe Iraq's security forces as poorly
led and sparsely equipped, with soldiers suspicious of commanders and
uncertain they would get enough food, water and ammunition in the heat
of battle. Discipline is ragged, men disappear or go on leave at will,
and commanders list "ghost soldiers" while collecting their paychecks,
they said.
"This army is not prepared to fight. Nobody trusts
anyone, not even from their own sect," said a 32-year-old federal police
officer who asked to be identified only by his first name, Amar, for
fear of retribution from his superiors.
The military collapsed in
Mosul even though Washington spent eight years and $25 billion to train,
arm and equip Iraq's security forces. The United States has now
deployed 1,400 advisors to try to rebuild the shattered military into a
force that can repel Islamic State.
American
commanders say the Iraqi army won't be ready to mount operations to
retake Islamic State-controlled cities such as Mosul for many months.
Meanwhile, Iraq's government has turned to Shiite Muslim militias and
Sunni Muslim tribesmen as it scrambles to keep the Sunni militants from
advancing on Baghdad and its airport.
The U.S. military has not
explained how a few more months of "advise and assist" will create a
functional army after years of training was followed by wholesale
desertions in Mosul and in Anbar province to the west of Baghdad.
Soldiers and police seeking to avoid mass executions if they were
captured left behind weapons, ammunition, vehicles and other
U.S.-supplied equipment now used by Islamic State to attack more
government positions.
The
U.S. military witnessed Iraqi army shortcomings as long ago as 2003.
During the American-led invasion that year, thousands of Saddam
Hussein's soldiers — including the supposedly elite Republican Guard —
shed their uniforms, tossed aside their weapons and deserted. Among
today's most battle-hardened Sunni militants are Hussein-era Baathist
military survivors.
Asked how many Iraqi security forces are
combat-ready today, a U.S. Central Command spokesman, Maj. Curtis J.
Kellogg, said the command could not provide an estimate. He suggested
asking the Iraqi army.
Questioned about the army's combat
effectiveness, the commander of security forces in and around Baghdad,
Brig. Gen. Abdul Ameer Kamil, said morale has improved as his units
shift from defense to offense.
About half of Iraq's army is
deployed in and around Baghdad, according to commanders. A third is in
Anbar, where Islamic State controls most of the Sunni-dominated
province.
Kamil blamed the Mosul collapse on betrayals by some
commanders and frightened soldiers who fled after Islamic State fighters
blared public announcements that "Daesh is coming!" Some soldiers
joined the militants.
"This
will never happen in Baghdad," Kamil said. "Our troops here have high
spirits and they support each other. We have the initiative now."
Kamil
said Iraqi forces were undermined in Mosul by Sunnis who resented the
Shiite-dominated security forces and autocratic government in Baghdad
and welcomed the Islamic State militants.
Security force members
acknowledge that many Sunnis and other minorities see the Shiite-led
army as a brutal occupying force. Under former Prime Minister Nouri
Maliki, a Shiite, Sunnis were driven out of the security forces and
replaced by Shiites.
"The army became Maliki's private militia,"
said retired U.S. Army Maj. Gen. Paul D. Eaton, who was in charge of
military training in Iraq in 2003 and 2004.
Iraqis
in Shiite-dominated greater Baghdad generally support the army, he
said. But he also acknowledged that the army cannot defend the
surrounding "Baghdad belt" without the help of thousands of Shiite
militiamen Kamil calls "volunteers," particularly because areas just to
the north, west and south have a Sunni majority.
Officers in one
of many units that collapsed in Mosul, the 2nd Battalion of Iraq's 3rd
Federal Police Division, said their U.S. training was useful. But as
soon as their American advisors left, they said, soldiers and police
went back to their ways.
"Our commanders told us to ignore what the Americans taught us," Shehab said. "They said, 'We'll do it our way.'"
Shehab
and others said their ranks in Mosul were infiltrated by Islamic State
agents posing as police or soldiers. The militants knew their plans and
operations, they said, and some commanders were sympathetic to Islamic
State. Shehab said one of his commanders, a Sunni, had two brothers
fighting for the militants.
Eaton
said the U.S. carefully built an army that reflected Iraq's diversity
of sects. But Maliki tore that army apart, creating a force Eaton
estimated is now 90% Shiite. Worse, Maliki integrated Shiite militias,
accused of torturing and killing Sunnis, into the army and police.
Retired
Lt. Gen. James M. Dubik, in charge of Iraqi training in 2007 and 2008,
said Maliki's government intimidated and assassinated Sunni officers
while Maliki seized personal control of the security forces from
commanders. Human rights groups have accused Iraqi security forces of
detaining and killing Sunnis.
Dubik estimated that up to 60% of
the army could be combat effective if properly led and backed by U.S.
advisors and airstrikes. But he questioned whether 1,400 advisors can
reconstitute a badly fractured force in a matter of months.
"I
don't know what they're doing, frankly," Dubik said of the advisors. "I
see us as very slow on the uptake politically and militarily.
Ultimately, we will need more advisors and trainers."
Eaton said
advisors can help the Iraqi military with strategy, tactics and
intelligence. But without competent ground forces, he said, U.S. and
coalition airstrikes will have minimal effect because they cannot teach
the "moral component" to fight and die for a common cause.
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