Striking Syria: Illegal, immoral, and dangerous |
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Whatever Congress may decide, a US military strike against Syria would be a reckless and counterproductive move.
Last Modified: 02 Sep 2013 17:10
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Obama said he will ask the US Congress to authorise military action against Syria [AFP]
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If
I were very optimistic, I'd say that President Obama is hoping that
Congress will follow the example of the British parliament, and vote
against his proposed military strike on Syria. It would let him off the
hook - he could avoid an illegal, dangerous, immoral military assault
and say it's Congress' fault.
But
unfortunately, I don't think that much optimism is warranted. Obama's
speech - not least his dismissal of any time pressure, announcing that
his commanders have reassured him that their preparations to fire on
command are not time-bound - gives opponents of greater US intervention
in Syria a week or more to mobilise, to build opposition in Congress and
in the public, and to continue fighting against this new danger. As the
president accurately described it, "some things are more important than
partisan politics". For war opponents in Congress, especially President
Obama's progressive supporters, keeping that in mind is going to be
difficult but crucial.
Obama
said he will "seek Congressional authorisation" for a military strike
on Syria. He said he believes US policy is "stronger" if the president
and Congress are united, but made clear his belief that he "has the
authority to strike without" congressional support. That's the bottom
line. The first question shouted by the press as he left the White House
rose garden was "will you still attack if Congress votes no?" He didn't
answer.
There
is little question that the Obama administration was blindsided by the
British parliament's vote against the prime minister's proposal to
endorse war. They were prepared to go to war without United Nations
authorisation, but were counting on the UK as the core partner in a new
iteration of a Bush-style "coalition of the willing." Then NATO made
clear it would not participate, and the Arab League refused to endorse a
military strike. France may stay in Obama's corner, but that won't be
enough.
And
Congress was getting restive, with more than 200 members signing one or
another letter demanding that the White House consult with them. Too
many pesky journalists were reprinting Obama's own words from 2007, when
then-candidate Obama told the Boston Globe that "the
President does not have power under the Constitution to unilaterally
authorise a military attack in a situation that does not involve
stopping an actual or imminent threat to the nation."
All
of that led to the drive towards war slowing a bit. But it didn't stop.
And that's a problem. Because whatever Congress may decide, a US
military strike against Syria will still be illegal, immoral and
dangerous, even reckless in the region and around the world. Congress
needs to say no.
Illegal
However
frustrated US presidents may be with the UN Security Council's
occasional refusal to give in to their pressure, the law is clear. The
United Nations Charter, the fundamental core of international law, may
be vague about a lot of things. But it is unequivocal about when
military force is legal, and when it isn't. Only two things make an act
of war legal: immediate self-defense, which clearly is not the case for
the US The horrific reality of chemical weapons devastated Syrian, not
American lives. This is not self-defense. The other is if the Security
Council, acting under Chapter VII of the UN Charter, authorises the use
of force in response to a threat to international peace and security.
That's the authorisation President Obama knows he cannot get - certainly
Russia and China would veto, but right now a British veto would
certainly be a possibility if Cameron wanted to respond to his public.
And it's not at all clear a US resolution to use force would even get
the nine necessary votes of the 15 Council members. The US is thoroughly
isolated internationally.
The
problem for President Obama is he still is determined to use military
force, despite the requirements of international law. He says he doesn't
need that authority - that maybe he'll use the 1999 Kosovo precedent to
"go around" the Security Council. The problem, of course, is that the
1999 US-NATO assault on Serbia and Kosovo was illegal - faced with a
sure Russian veto, Bill Clinton simply announced he would not ask for
Council permission. Instead, he would get permission from the NATO high
command. But aside from the hammer-and-nail problem (if you're a hammer,
everything looks like a nail; if you're NATO military leaders looking
for re-legitimation, everything looks like it needs a military
solution), nothing in international law allows NATO to substitute for
the Security Council. The Charter was specifically designed to make it
difficult to get authorisation for military force - its whole raison
d'etre is to stand against the scourge of war. So any new
decision to go to use military force without Council authority means
that use of force is illegal.
Right
now, in Syria, that means that members of Congress have the chance to
prevent another illegal US war. If Congress should approve it, likely
for political or partisan reasons that have nothing to do with Syria,
their vote would mean direct complicity in an illegal and immoral war.
Immoral
Pentagon
officials have confirmed what logic tells us all: every use of military
force threatens civilian lives. More than 100,000 Syrians have been
killed in this civil war so far, and hundreds more were killed in what
appears to be (remember, we still don't know for sure) a chemical strike
last week - US cruise missile strikes won't bring any of them back, and
more important, won't protect any Syrian civilians from further threat.
To the contrary, low-ranking conscript troops and civilians are almost
certain to be injured or killed. Reports out of Syria indicate military
offices and more being moved into populated areas - that shouldn't come
as a surprise given the nature of the Syrian regime. But the knowledge
makes those contemplating military force even more culpable.
Dangerous
A
US military strike on Syria will increase levels of violence and
instability inside the country, in the region, and around the world.
Inside Syria, aside from immediate casualties and damage to the already
shattered country, reports are already coming in of thousands of Syrian
refugees returning from Lebanon to "stand with their government" when
the country is under attack. It could lead to greater support to the
brutal regime in Damascus. In Kosovo, more Kosovars were forcibly
expelled from their homes by the Serbian regime after the NATO bombing
began than had happened before it started; Syrian civilians could face
similar retaliation from the government.
A
US strike will do nothing to strengthen the secular armed opposition,
still largely based in Turkey and Jordan, let alone the heroic but
weakened original non-violent democratic opposition forces who have
consistently opposed militarization of their struggle and outside
military intervention. Those who gain will be the most extreme Islamist
forces within the opposition, particularly those such as the Jubhat
al-Nusra which are closest to al-Qaeda. They have long seen the US
presence in the region as a key recruitment tool and a great local
target.
There
is also the danger of escalation between the US and Russia, already at
odds in one of the five wars currently underway in Syria. So far that
has been limited to a war of words between Washington and Moscow, but
with the G-20 meeting scheduled for next week in St Petersburg,
President Putin may feel compelled to push back more directly, perhaps
with new economic or other measures.
Crucially,
a military strike without United Nations authorisation undermines the
urgent need for serious, tough diplomacy to end the Syrian war. The US
just cancelled a meeting with Russia to talk about negotiations; a
couple of months ago, Russia cancelled one. They both must be pushed to
meet urgently to arrange and implement an immediate ceasefire and an
arms embargo on all sides in Syria.
And
finally, what happens the day after? If Syria retaliates against a US
missile strike - with an attack on a US warship, or a US base in a
neighbouring country, or on US troops in the region, or against Israel
... do we really think the US will simply stand back and say "no, this
was just a one-time surgical strike, we won't respond"? What happens
when that inevitable response pushes the US closer towards direct
full-scale involvement in the Syrian civil war?
The
word to Congress now must be - you got the vote. That's important,
because now you can use that vote to say NO to military action.
What should the US do?
First
thing, stop this false dichotomy of it's either military force or
nothing. The use of chemical weapons is a war crime, it is indeed what
Secretary Kerry called a "moral obscenity". Whoever used such a weapon
should be held accountable. So what do we do about it?
The views expressed in this article are the author's own and do not necessarily reflect Al Jazeera's editorial policy.
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