Lacklustre 3G bids slammed by TDRI
Prices for 2.1GHz slots barely beat the reserve levels; critics say bids fail to yield value for spectrum
As expected, Thailand's first 2.1-gigahertz (GHz) spectrum auction yesterday turned out to be a less-than fiercely competitive affair, with the three highest bidders paying a combined Bt41.625 billion - less than 3 per cent above the reserve price - for the nine prized spectrum slots after seven rounds of bidding.Thailand Development Research Institute (TDRI) president Somkiat Tangkitvanich yesterday slammed the auction outcome as costly for the state coffers and for taxpayers. He said the outcome was what he had expected: he cited a combined price for the nine slots totalling Bt41.650 billion, only slightly higher than the combined reserve price of Bt40.5 billion, or Bt4.5 billion per 5-megahertz (MHz) bandwidth slot.
Following the finalising of yesterday's bidding, the National Broadcasting and Telecommunications Commission (NBTC) is expected to grant the 15-year licences to the three bidders in January.
NBTC telecom committee chairman Settapong Malisuwan said the commission is ready to deal with possible legal suits against the outcome and insisted that the NBTC proceeded with the auction with the country's interests at heart.
The full market value of each slot is Bt6.4 billion, totalling Bt57.960 billion for the nine slots, according to the evaluation by the NBTC's reserve price panel, comprising a group of economics lecturers from Chulalongkorn University.
"Even though the auction means the Thai public will have a 3G-2.1GHz service available next year, this has cost the state coffers Bt16.335 billion when compared to the full spectrum value. It's like giving them [the bidders] a windfall," Somkiat said.
Somkiat added that the biggest flaws in the auction were in its terms and conditions, which he said allowed three bidders to grab the maximum three slots each and which set a low reserve price, failing to promote strong competition. He wanted to know how the NBTC would take responsibility for the state's loss, and urged related state agencies to investigate the auction.
NBTC commissioner Suthiphon Thaveechaiyagarn argued that critics focused solely on the per-slot spectrum price calculated by NBTC reserve price panel, while ignoring the panel study's conclusion that the appropriate reserve price must not be lower than 67 per cent of the full price. He said the reserve price of Bt4.5 billion per slot was 70 per cent of the full price per slot.
He added that the main objective of the auction was to effectively allocate all the spectrum slots: the price was not the priority.
"We're satisfied with the final outcome [which] is Bt1.125 billion higher than the total reserve price of nine slots," Suthiphon added.
Settapong said if there was no 2.1GHz auction, there would be no auction of the 1,800MHz spectrum.
He said that the concessions of some telecom operators would end soon, so it is necessary to find a way to grant them access to the spectrum to help them continue to provide service to customers.
The three bidders were Advanced Info Service's Advanced Wireless Network (AWN); DTAC Network (DTN) of Total Access Communication; and True Corp's Real Future.
The three cellular operators are expected to migrate their customers from their concessions to the 3G licences to enjoy lower regulatory fees. The concession fee cost each of them around 25 per cent of their gross revenue, while the 3G licences will cost each of them 5.75 per cent per year.
A telecom analyst said it would take four years at least for them to gain regular cost savings from the licences, as they will not be able to migrate all customers from the concessions to the licences overnight.
AIS has over 34 million customers, while DTAC has over 23 million and TrueMove 17 million.
Sam Dinkin, senior auction consultant of Power Auctions, said there was no collusion detected among the bidders. "There is no evidence of collusion," he said.
NBTC hired Power Auctions to incorporate the auction rules into the software used and to support its management of the 3G auction.
AWN was the top bidder, quoting a total of Bt14.625 billion for three slots. Under the terms of the auction, the highest bidder is given first choice of their desired spectrum range. AWN selected ranges adjacent to that being used currently to provide 3G service by its concession owner, TOT.
Real Future and DTN quoted equal final prices for each of their slots. They had to draw lots to be the second to select the spectrum range. Real Future selected ranges in the middle of 2.1GHz band, while DTN selected those in the first range.
The auction took around six hours. In the closing round, there were six slots with prices of Bt4.5 billion each. Two slots attracted the highest individual per-slot price of Bt4.950 billion, while another was priced at Bt4.725 billion.
The first round of the initial bidding phase started at 10am when all had to quote the same reserve price of Bt4.5 billion per slot. The price could be raised at fixed increments of Bt225 million per round. Each bidder was given 30 minutes to consider before placing a bid in each round.
In this first bid round, six out of nine slots were selected, resulting a total value of the quoted price of Bt27 billion. Two bidders selected two same slots in this round. One bidder selected two slots. The NBTC staff said it implied the bidders did not collude as at least two bidders selected same two slots.
In the last round, no bidder placed a quote or waived a price offering. As a result, the auction ended at 3.45pm.
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